Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 173.303785 205.215075 244.147379 296.087972 365.082625 4.559164e+02 5.887954e+02
2025-01-26 140.265484 180.855318 237.195103 324.999330 466.646084 7.041795e+02 1.183810e+03
2025-02-02 127.535842 174.736653 246.818805 374.025138 617.534688 1.137735e+03 2.689364e+03
2025-02-09 109.398724 155.264435 229.410412 370.912485 675.155665 1.456100e+03 4.798120e+03
2025-02-16 97.833851 143.083090 219.937451 377.357166 755.689148 1.934748e+03 1.004347e+04
2025-02-23 88.990002 133.472571 212.280351 384.126843 842.479803 2.588943e+03 2.578497e+04
2025-03-02 82.443838 126.531163 207.749422 395.777601 952.914906 3.615573e+03 1.171519e+05
2025-03-09 76.290487 119.271707 201.010839 399.986170 1046.908372 4.917215e+03 2.711595e+06
2025-03-16 69.515040 109.959100 188.453896 385.908041 1069.767125 5.915647e+03 NaN
2025-03-23 66.401979 107.009406 188.439520 404.634796 1239.292425 9.468815e+03 NaN
2025-03-30 60.777861 98.633581 175.491512 383.848069 1224.136574 1.085267e+04 NaN
2025-04-06 57.564490 94.579246 171.400992 387.643759 1333.625948 1.618294e+04 NaN
2025-04-13 53.332061 88.538554 162.980350 379.432488 1398.009371 2.368705e+04 NaN
2025-04-20 52.255911 88.739421 169.121349 420.727430 1833.749168 9.869742e+04 NaN
2025-04-27 52.371339 91.369276 181.689199 492.105901 2731.029462 2.078185e+08 NaN
2025-05-04 49.187045 86.589916 174.689284 487.525925 2970.259647 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 46.878432 83.449271 171.417557 497.015752 3435.570686 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 44.812422 80.613269 168.467181 507.013617 3999.163793 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 43.152338 78.504543 167.149688 524.290312 4842.927997 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 41.319389 75.814074 163.748217 530.552785 5600.623851 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 38.939317 71.655607 155.529895 509.649193 5648.429000 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 37.975705 70.706216 156.560938 537.483356 7381.036586 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 35.715536 66.519542 147.372169 506.601313 7001.453224 NaN NaN